Serie A · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
AS Roma
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
23%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AS Roma wins
0
Draws
0
Atalanta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
86%
93%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
17%
Team news
AS Roma
- L. Pellegrini · Thigh Injury
- M. Svilar · Toe Injury
- P. Dybala · Calf Injury
- M. Kone · Muscle Injury
- M. Bah · Knee Injury
- B. Cristante · Knee Injury
- D. Malen · Red Card
- K. Koulierakis · Knock
Atalanta
- I. Hien · Muscle Bruise
- T. Kristensen · Muscle Injury
- G. Gaetano · Muscle Injury
- O. Kossounou · Thigh Injury
- F. Kessie · Calf Injury
- G. Raspadori · Thigh Injury
- S. Kolasinac · Thigh Injury
- R. Bellanova · Thigh Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
AS Roma
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Atalanta
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| AS Roma | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/7 71% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
AS Roma
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Atalanta
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
AS Roma face Atalanta in Serie A. AS Roma have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Atalanta have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing AS Roma, home advantage and superior chance creation make AS Roma to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for AS Roma, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Atalanta. Our top recommended betting pick is AS Roma Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico as part of the Serie A.
