Serie B · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Goias
Home
0-1
Full time
Estádio da Serrinha
Fortaleza EC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Goias wins
0
Draws
0
Fortaleza EC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Goias
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Fortaleza EC
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
0.71
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Goias | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Goias
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Fortaleza EC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC |
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 |
| 7 |
Goias |
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | -2 | 58 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Goias face Fortaleza EC in Serie B. Goias have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Fortaleza EC have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Goias, home advantage and superior chance creation make Goias to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Goias, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Fortaleza EC. Our top recommended betting pick is Goias Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha as part of the Serie B.
