Eredivisie · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Willem II
Home
0-3
Full time
Koning Willem II Stadion
Excelsior
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
21%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Willem II wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
95%
26%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Willem II
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Excelsior
last 5 away from home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Willem II | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Willem II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Excelsior
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
86%
Level
0%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Excelsior |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |
Willem II |
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -29 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Willem II face Excelsior in Eredivisie. Willem II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game). Excelsior have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
Excelsior's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Excelsior to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Willem II, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
