Eredivisie · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Willem II
Home
0-3
Full time
Koning Willem II Stadion
Excelsior
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
21%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Willem II wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
95%
13%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
47%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Exc Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | Wil Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Willem II face Excelsior in Eredivisie. Willem II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game). Excelsior have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
Excelsior's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Excelsior to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Willem II, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
