La Liga · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Villarreal
Home
2-3
Full time
Estadio de la Ceramica
Deportivo La Coruna
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Villarreal wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo La Coruna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Villarreal
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Deportivo La Coruna
last 6 away from home
2W
4D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Villarreal | Deportivo La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Villarreal
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
Deportivo La Coruna
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Villarreal |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |
Deportivo La Coruna |
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Villarreal face Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga. Villarreal have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Deportivo La Coruna have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Villarreal, home advantage and superior chance creation make Villarreal to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Villarreal, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Deportivo La Coruna. Our top recommended betting pick is Villarreal Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica as part of the La Liga.
