AfriPredictions
Serie C - Girone C · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Bari
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio San Nicola
Casarano
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
15%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81% 1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77% 1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Bar Bari
W W
2-0-0
W-D-L
4:0
Goals
3
PPG
Cas Casarano
L L
0-0-2
W-D-L
1:5
Goals
0
PPG
Head-to-head
1
Bari wins
0
Draws
0
Casarano wins
16 Aug 2026 Bari 1 - 0 Casarano
Why this prediction
95% Recent form 5%
66% Attack 16%
95% Defence 16%
95% Head-to-head 5%
81% Win probability 5%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
2 Bar Bari 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Cas Casarano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
Match Preview & Analysis

Bari face Casarano in Serie C - Girone C. Bari have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Casarano have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0 points per game).

In their last 1 meeting on record, Bari won 1, Casarano won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.

With a 81% probability backing Bari, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bari to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Bari, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Casarano. Our top recommended betting pick is Bari Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola as part of the Serie C - Girone C.
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