Serie C - Girone C · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Bari
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio San Nicola
Casarano
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
15%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Bari wins
0
Draws
0
Casarano wins
16 Aug 2026
Bari
1 - 0
Casarano
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
33%
41%
Attack
55%
66%
Defence
11%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
81%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Bari
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Casarano
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Bari | Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Bari
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Casarano
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bari face Casarano in Serie C - Girone C. Bari have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game). Casarano have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Bari won 1, Casarano won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
With a 81% probability backing Bari, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bari to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Bari, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Casarano. Our top recommended betting pick is Bari Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola as part of the Serie C - Girone C.
