Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Deportivo Merlo
Home
0-0
Full time
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Defensores Unidos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
30%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Defensores Unidos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
6%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Deportivo Merlo
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Defensores Unidos
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Merlo | Defensores Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Deportivo Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Defensores Unidos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
| 20 |
Defensores Unidos |
40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | -7 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Merlo face Defensores Unidos in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Merlo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Defensores Unidos have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 46% probability backing Deportivo Merlo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Merlo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Deportivo Merlo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Defensores Unidos. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Merlo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
