USL Championship · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Indy Eleven
Home
2-2
Full time
Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Birmingham Legion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
25%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Indy Eleven wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham Legion wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Indy Eleven
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Birmingham Legion
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Indy Eleven | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Indy Eleven
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Birmingham Legion
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
89%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Indy Eleven |
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 |
Birmingham Legion |
28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Indy Eleven face Birmingham Legion in USL Championship. Indy Eleven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Birmingham Legion have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Indy Eleven, home advantage and superior chance creation make Indy Eleven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Indy Eleven, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Birmingham Legion. Our top recommended betting pick is Indy Eleven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
