Liga Pro · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Independiente del Valle
Home
3-1
Full time
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Macara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente del Valle wins
0
Draws
0
Macara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Independiente del Valle
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Macara
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Independiente del Valle | Macara | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Independiente del Valle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Macara
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente del Valle face Macara in Liga Pro. Independiente del Valle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Macara have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing Independiente del Valle, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independiente del Valle to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Independiente del Valle, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Macara. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente del Valle Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil as part of the Liga Pro.
