Major League Soccer · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Toronto FC
Home
4-4
Full time
BMO Field
Chicago Fire
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Toronto FC wins
0
Draws
0
Chicago Fire wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Toronto FC
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Chicago Fire
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Toronto FC | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Toronto FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Chicago Fire
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Chicago Fire |
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +10 | 55 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC |
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -15 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Toronto FC face Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer. Toronto FC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Chicago Fire have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Toronto FC, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Chicago Fire. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at BMO Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
