USL Championship · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Rhode Island
Home
1-1
Full time
Centreville Bank Stadium
Louisville City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
17%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rhode Island wins
0
Draws
0
Louisville City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Rhode Island
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Louisville City
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Rhode Island | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Rhode Island
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Louisville City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Louisville City |
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |
Rhode Island |
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +10 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rhode Island face Louisville City in USL Championship. Rhode Island have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Louisville City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 64% probability backing Rhode Island, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rhode Island to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Rhode Island, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Louisville City. Our top recommended betting pick is Rhode Island Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
