Serie A · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Fluminense
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fluminense wins
1
Draws
1
Vasco DA Gama wins
06 Aug 2026
Fluminense
1 - 3
Vasco DA Gama
01 Aug 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0 - 0
Fluminense
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
60%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Fluminense
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 7 away from home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Fluminense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fluminense face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Fluminense have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Fluminense won 0, Vasco DA Gama won 1 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Fluminense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fluminense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Fluminense, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Fluminense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
