USL Championship · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Orange County SC
Home
1-1
Full time
Championship Soccer Stadium
Sacramento Republic
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Orange County SC wins
0
Draws
0
Sacramento Republic wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
26%
20%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Orange County SC
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.80
conceded a game
Sacramento Republic
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Orange County SC | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Orange County SC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Sacramento Republic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sacramento Republic |
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 9 |
Orange County SC |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Orange County SC face Sacramento Republic in USL Championship. Orange County SC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Sacramento Republic have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Orange County SC, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sacramento Republic. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
