Liga MX · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Tigres UANL
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Universitario
Necaxa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Tigres UANL v Necaxa pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tigres UANL wins
0
Draws
0
Necaxa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Tigres UANL
last 5 at home
1W
4D
0L
1.40
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Necaxa
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tigres UANL | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Tigres UANL
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Necaxa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Tigres UANL |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 |
Necaxa |
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tigres UANL face Necaxa in Liga MX. Tigres UANL have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.2 points per game). Necaxa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Tigres UANL, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tigres UANL to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Tigres UANL, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Necaxa. Our top recommended betting pick is Tigres UANL Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario as part of the Liga MX.
