Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Monarcas
Home
4-1
Full time
Estadio Morelos
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monarcas wins
0
Draws
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Monarcas
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Monarcas | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Monarcas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monarcas |
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 21 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monarcas face Alebrijes de Oaxaca in Liga de Expansión MX. Monarcas have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Monarcas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monarcas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Monarcas, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Our top recommended betting pick is Monarcas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
