Liga Nacional · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
CD Marathon
Home
5-0
Full time
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Estrella Roja
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
29%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CD Marathon wins
0
Draws
0
Estrella Roja wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
73%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
CD Marathon
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Estrella Roja
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| CD Marathon | Estrella Roja | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
CD Marathon
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Estrella Roja
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
CD Marathon |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 |
Estrella Roja |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CD Marathon face Estrella Roja in Liga Nacional. CD Marathon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Estrella Roja have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing CD Marathon, home advantage and superior chance creation make CD Marathon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for CD Marathon, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Estrella Roja. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Marathon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal as part of the Liga Nacional.
