USL Championship · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Monterey Bay
Home
1-1
Full time
Cardinale Stadium
Phoenix Rising
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
24%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monterey Bay wins
0
Draws
1
Phoenix Rising wins
19 Jul 2026
Phoenix Rising
3 - 2
Monterey Bay
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
53%
26%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
27%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Monterey Bay
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Phoenix Rising
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monterey Bay | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Monterey Bay
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Phoenix Rising
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Phoenix Rising |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 39 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay |
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monterey Bay face Phoenix Rising in USL Championship. Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game). Phoenix Rising have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Monterey Bay won 0, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Phoenix Rising's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Phoenix Rising to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Monterey Bay, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Phoenix Rising. Our top recommended betting pick is Phoenix Rising Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
