USL Championship · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Las Vegas Lights
Home
1-2
Full time
Cashman Field
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Las Vegas Lights v New Mexico United pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Las Vegas Lights wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Las Vegas Lights
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
New Mexico United
last 5 away from home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
2.40
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Las Vegas Lights | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Las Vegas Lights
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
New Mexico United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 11 |
Las Vegas Lights |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Las Vegas Lights face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Las Vegas Lights have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). New Mexico United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
New Mexico United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for New Mexico United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Las Vegas Lights, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 02:30 (East Africa Time) at Cashman Field as part of the USL Championship.
