J1 League · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Nagoya Grampus
Home
1-3
Full time
Toyota Stadium
Machida Zelvia
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
26%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nagoya Grampus wins
0
Draws
0
Machida Zelvia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
86%
46%
Attack
86%
33%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Nagoya Grampus
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Machida Zelvia
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Nagoya Grampus
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Machida Zelvia
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nagoya Grampus face Machida Zelvia in J1 League. Nagoya Grampus have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Machida Zelvia have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Machida Zelvia's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Machida Zelvia to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Nagoya Grampus, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Machida Zelvia. Our top recommended betting pick is Machida Zelvia Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the J1 League.
