Liga 3 · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Leça
Home
0-3
Full time
Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube
Fafe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.33
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
11%
Away
83%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Draw/Away
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leça wins
0
Draws
0
Fafe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
73%
20%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
83%
Home and away record
Leça
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Fafe
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Leça | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/8 63% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Leça
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Fafe
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leça face Fafe in Liga 3. Leça have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Fafe have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Fafe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 83% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fafe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Leça, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 83% probability for Fafe. Our top recommended betting pick is Fafe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube as part of the Liga 3.
