Ettan - Norra · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Arlanda
Home
1-2
Full time
Midgardsvallen
Umeå FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
20%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Arlanda wins
0
Draws
0
Umeå FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
26%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Arlanda
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.60
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Umeå FC
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Arlanda | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Arlanda
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Umeå FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Arlanda face Umeå FC in Ettan - Norra. Arlanda have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Umeå FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Arlanda, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arlanda to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Arlanda, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Umeå FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Arlanda Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen as part of the Ettan - Norra.
