Bundesliga · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Hamburger SV
Home
0-5
Full time
Volksparkstadion
FSV Mainz 05
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hamburger SV wins
0
Draws
0
FSV Mainz 05 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
53%
Attack
95%
53%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Hamburger SV
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
FSV Mainz 05
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
7.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/9 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Hamburger SV
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
FSV Mainz 05
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Hamburger SV |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |
FSV Mainz 05 |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hamburger SV face FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga. Hamburger SV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). FSV Mainz 05 have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Hamburger SV, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for FSV Mainz 05. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion as part of the Bundesliga.
