Serie A · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Coritiba
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Mirassol
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
31%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Mirassol wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Mirassol
last 6 away from home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Mirassol
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 |
Mirassol |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Mirassol in Serie A. Coritiba have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Mirassol have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 45% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Coritiba, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Mirassol. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
