Premyer Liqa · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Qarabag
Home
3-2
Full time
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Araz
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
9%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Qarabag wins
0
Draws
0
Araz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
11%
53%
Attack
5%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Qarabag
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Araz
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
5.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Qarabag | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/3 100% |
At half time
Qarabag
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Araz
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Qarabag face Araz in Premyer Liqa. Qarabag have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Araz have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 0 and conceding 6 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 84% probability backing Qarabag, home advantage and superior chance creation make Qarabag to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Qarabag, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Araz. Our top recommended betting pick is Qarabag Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 16:15 (East Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
