Liga MX · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Leon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
10%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
0
Draws
0
Leon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
13%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Leon
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Leon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
U.N.A.M. - Pumas face Leon in Liga MX. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Leon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 82% probability backing U.N.A.M. - Pumas, home advantage and superior chance creation make U.N.A.M. - Pumas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Leon. Our top recommended betting pick is U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 03:05 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga MX.
