Ligue 1 · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Marseille
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Paris FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
18%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Marseille wins
0
Draws
0
Paris FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Marseille
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Paris FC
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Marseille | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Marseille
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Paris FC
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Marseille face Paris FC in Ligue 1. Marseille have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Paris FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 64% probability backing Marseille, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marseille to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Marseille, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Paris FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Marseille Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ligue 1.
