Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Union Brescia
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Desenzano Calvina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
30%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Brescia wins
0
Draws
0
Desenzano Calvina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
50%
66%
Attack
16%
60%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Union Brescia
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Desenzano Calvina
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Union Brescia | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Union Brescia
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Desenzano Calvina
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Union Brescia |
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 28 |
| 13 |
Desenzano Calvina |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Brescia face Desenzano Calvina in Serie C - Girone A. Union Brescia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Desenzano Calvina have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 47% probability backing Union Brescia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Brescia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Union Brescia, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Desenzano Calvina. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Brescia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
