Serie C - Girone B · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Perugia
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Renato Curi
Pineto
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Perugia wins
0
Draws
0
Pineto wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
25%
44%
Attack
16%
55%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Perugia
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Pineto
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Perugia | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Perugia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Pineto
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Perugia face Pineto in Serie C - Girone B. Perugia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game). Pineto have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing Perugia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Perugia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Perugia, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Pineto. Our top recommended betting pick is Perugia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
