Serie B · Sunday, 06 Sep 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
0-2
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.08
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
17%
Away
72%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
33%
6%
Attack
40%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
72%
Home and away record
Ponte Preta
last 6 at home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
São Bernardo
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ponte Preta | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face São Bernardo in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). São Bernardo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
São Bernardo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 72% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for São Bernardo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 72% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 06 Sep 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
