Serie A · Monday, 07 Sep 2026
Cagliari
Home
1-0
Full time
Unipol Domus
Lecce
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cagliari wins
0
Draws
0
Lecce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Cagliari
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
0.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Lecce
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Cagliari | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% 2/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 1/7 14% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Cagliari
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Lecce
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cagliari face Lecce in Serie A. Cagliari have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Lecce have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Cagliari, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cagliari to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Cagliari, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Lecce. Our top recommended betting pick is Cagliari Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 07 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Unipol Domus as part of the Serie A.
