Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primeira Liga · Monday, 07 Sep 2026
Estoril
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
19%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estoril wins
0
Draws
0
Arouca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
80%
20%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Estoril
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Arouca
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
0.57
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Estoril | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Estoril
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Arouca
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Estoril face Arouca in Primeira Liga. Estoril have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Arouca have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 56% probability backing Estoril, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estoril to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Estoril, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Arouca. Our top recommended betting pick is Estoril Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 07 Sep 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota as part of the Primeira Liga.
