Serie A · Monday, 07 Sep 2026
Vitoria
Home
1-0
Full time
Barradao
Gremio
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
63%
1.49
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria wins
0
Draws
0
Gremio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
13%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Vitoria
last 6 at home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Gremio
last 6 away from home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vitoria | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Vitoria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Gremio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Gremio in Serie A. Vitoria have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Gremio have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Vitoria, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Gremio. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 07 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Barradao as part of the Serie A.
