National League - North · Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026
Chorley
Home
5-2
Full time
Victory Park
Darlington 1883
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chorley wins
0
Draws
0
Darlington 1883 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Chorley
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Darlington 1883
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chorley | Darlington 1883 | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Chorley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Darlington 1883
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
10%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Chorley |
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 22 |
Darlington 1883 |
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -9 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chorley face Darlington 1883 in National League - North. Chorley have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game). Darlington 1883 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
With a 76% probability backing Chorley, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chorley to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Chorley, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Darlington 1883. Our top recommended betting pick is Chorley Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Victory Park as part of the National League - North.
