National League - North · Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026
Southport
Home
2-1
Full time
Haig Avenue
Morecambe
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Southport wins
0
Draws
0
Morecambe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
53%
26%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Southport
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.17
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Morecambe
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Southport | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Southport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Morecambe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Morecambe |
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 23 |
Southport |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Southport face Morecambe in National League - North. Southport have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Morecambe have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 78% probability backing Southport, home advantage and superior chance creation make Southport to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for Southport, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Morecambe. Our top recommended betting pick is Southport Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Haig Avenue as part of the National League - North.
