Super League · Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026
Neftchi
Home
2-1
Full time
Istiqlol Stadium
Surkhon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
22%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Neftchi wins
0
Draws
0
Surkhon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
13%
5%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
19%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nef Neftchi | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | +32 | 42 |
| 14 | Sur Surkhon | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Neftchi face Surkhon in Super League. Neftchi have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game). Surkhon have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Neftchi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Neftchi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Neftchi, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Surkhon. Our top recommended betting pick is Neftchi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium as part of the Super League.
