UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026
Liverpool
Home
2-1
Full time
Anfield
Atletico Madrid
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Liverpool wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Madrid wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Liverpool
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Atletico Madrid
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Liverpool | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Liverpool
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Atletico Madrid
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Liverpool face Atletico Madrid in UEFA Champions League. Liverpool have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Atletico Madrid have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Liverpool, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Atletico Madrid. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Anfield as part of the UEFA Champions League.
