UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026
Napoli
Home
0-1
Full time
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Arsenal
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Napoli wins
0
Draws
0
Arsenal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Napoli
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.17
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Arsenal
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Napoli | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Napoli
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Arsenal
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Napoli face Arsenal in UEFA Champions League. Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Arsenal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Napoli, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Arsenal. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as part of the UEFA Champions League.
