Primeira Liga · Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026
Moreirense
Home
0-4
Full time
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Benfica
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.11
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
16%
Away
73%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moreirense wins
0
Draws
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
95%
33%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
73%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ben Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 4 |
| 16 | Mor Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Moreirense face Benfica in Primeira Liga. Moreirense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Benfica have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Benfica's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 73% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Benfica to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Moreirense, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 73% probability for Benfica. Our top recommended betting pick is Benfica Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 09 Sep 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas as part of the Primeira Liga.
