Major League Soccer · Thursday, 10 Sep 2026
Portland Timbers
Home
2-2
Full time
Providence Park
St. Louis City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portland Timbers wins
0
Draws
0
St. Louis City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
73%
Attack
80%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Portland Timbers
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.88
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
St. Louis City
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Portland Timbers | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 100% 10/10 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Portland Timbers
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
St. Louis City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
78%
Level
22%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
St. Louis City |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 54 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers |
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +1 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Portland Timbers face St. Louis City in Major League Soccer. Portland Timbers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). St. Louis City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Portland Timbers, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portland Timbers to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Portland Timbers, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for St. Louis City. Our top recommended betting pick is Portland Timbers Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 10 Sep 2026 at 02:30 (East Africa Time) at Providence Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
