Liga 3 · Thursday, 10 Sep 2026
Merani Tbilisi
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Kolkheti Khobi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merani Tbilisi wins
0
Draws
0
Kolkheti Khobi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Merani Tbilisi
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Kolkheti Khobi
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Merani Tbilisi | Kolkheti Khobi | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Merani Tbilisi
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Kolkheti Khobi
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Merani Tbilisi |
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 12 |
Kolkheti Khobi |
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merani Tbilisi face Kolkheti Khobi in Liga 3. Merani Tbilisi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (2 points per game). Kolkheti Khobi have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 68% probability backing Merani Tbilisi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Merani Tbilisi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Merani Tbilisi, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Kolkheti Khobi. Our top recommended betting pick is Merani Tbilisi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 10 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
