UEFA Champions League · Thursday, 10 Sep 2026
PSV Eindhoven
Home
1-1
Full time
Philips Stadion
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
20%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
PSV Eindhoven wins
0
Draws
0
Shakhtar Donetsk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
PSV Eindhoven
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Shakhtar Donetsk
last 7 away from home
5W
2D
0L
2.43
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| PSV Eindhoven | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 100% 10/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/9 56% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
PSV Eindhoven
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Shakhtar Donetsk
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
PSV Eindhoven face Shakhtar Donetsk in UEFA Champions League. PSV Eindhoven have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game). Shakhtar Donetsk have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
Shakhtar Donetsk's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Shakhtar Donetsk to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for PSV Eindhoven, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Shakhtar Donetsk. Our top recommended betting pick is Shakhtar Donetsk Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 10 Sep 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Philips Stadion as part of the UEFA Champions League.
