Liga 3 · Thursday, 10 Sep 2026
Varketili
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Saburtalo II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
25%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Varketili wins
0
Draws
0
Saburtalo II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
86%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Varketili
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Saburtalo II
last 5 away from home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Varketili | Saburtalo II | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Varketili
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Saburtalo II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Varketili |
25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | +44 | 56 |
| 3 |
Saburtalo II |
25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | +22 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Varketili face Saburtalo II in Liga 3. Varketili have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Saburtalo II have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Varketili, home advantage and superior chance creation make Varketili to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Varketili, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Saburtalo II. Our top recommended betting pick is Varketili Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 10 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
