Serie B · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Sport Recife
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
26%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sport Recife wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
6%
53%
Attack
6%
53%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Sport Recife
last 5 at home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 6 away from home
0W
0D
6L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Sport Recife
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sport Recife |
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sport Recife face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Sport Recife have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Sport Recife, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sport Recife to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Sport Recife, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Sport Recife Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho as part of the Serie B.
