Copa de la División Profesional · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Bolívar
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Hernando Siles
Independiente Petrolero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
11%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Bolívar wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente Petrolero wins
06 Sep 2026
Independiente Petrolero
0 - 4
Bolívar
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
80%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
13%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Bolívar
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Independiente Petrolero
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bolívar | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Bolívar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Independiente Petrolero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bolívar face Independiente Petrolero in Copa de la División Profesional. Bolívar have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game). Independiente Petrolero have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Bolívar won 1, Independiente Petrolero won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 80% probability backing Bolívar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bolívar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Bolívar, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Independiente Petrolero. Our top recommended betting pick is Bolívar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles as part of the Copa de la División Profesional.
