Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Durango
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Durango wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Durango
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Durango
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Durango |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca face Durango in Liga de Expansión MX. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Durango have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Alebrijes de Oaxaca, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alebrijes de Oaxaca to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Durango. Our top recommended betting pick is Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
