Primera Division · Thursday, 24 Sep 2026
Alianza
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Fuerte San Francisco
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
33%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.78
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza wins
0
Draws
0
Fuerte San Francisco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
46%
Attack
13%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Alianza
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Fuerte San Francisco
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.40
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 5/9 56% |
At half time
Alianza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Fuerte San Francisco
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Alianza |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 |
Fuerte San Francisco |
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza face Fuerte San Francisco in Primera Division. Alianza have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Fuerte San Francisco have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 10 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 24%.
With a 52% probability backing Alianza, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alianza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Alianza, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Fuerte San Francisco. Our top recommended betting pick is Alianza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.78 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 24 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
