Persha Liga · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
UCSA
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Chernihiv
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UCSA wins
0
Draws
0
Chernihiv wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
UCSA
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Chernihiv
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| UCSA | Chernihiv | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
UCSA
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
71%
Behind
29%
Chernihiv
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
UCSA face Chernihiv in Persha Liga. UCSA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Chernihiv have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 51% probability backing UCSA, home advantage and superior chance creation make UCSA to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for UCSA, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Chernihiv. Our top recommended betting pick is UCSA Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
