Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Stars League · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Al-Gharafa
Home
0-0
Full time
Al Gharafa Stadium
Lusail City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
19%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al-Gharafa wins
0
Draws
0
Lusail City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
26%
41%
Attack
53%
16%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Al-Gharafa
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Lusail City
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Al-Gharafa | Lusail City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Al-Gharafa
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Lusail City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al-Gharafa face Lusail City in Stars League. Al-Gharafa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.75 points per game). Lusail City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 46% probability backing Al-Gharafa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Al-Gharafa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Al-Gharafa, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Lusail City. Our top recommended betting pick is Al-Gharafa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Al Gharafa Stadium as part of the Stars League.
