AfriPredictions
Stars League · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Al-Gharafa
Home
0-0
Full time
Al Gharafa Stadium
Lusail City
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
1 @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
19%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46% 2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
80% 1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83% 1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80% 1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
Al- Al-Gharafa
W D L W D
2-2-1
W-D-L
7:5
Goals
1.6
PPG
Lus Lusail City
L W W D L
2-1-2
W-D-L
6:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
2
Al-Gharafa wins
1
Draws
2
Lusail City wins
11 Apr 2026 Al-Gharafa 2 - 0 Lusail City
11 Nov 2025 Lusail City 0 - 3 Al-Gharafa
11 Jun 2025 Al-Gharafa 0 - 0 Lusail City
11 Jan 2025 Lusail City 0 - 1 Al-Gharafa
11 Aug 2024 Al-Gharafa 2 - 0 Lusail City
Why this prediction
53% Recent form 46%
84% Attack 72%
40% Defence 28%
40% Head-to-head 40%
46% Win probability 34%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
6 Lus Lusail City 24 14 4 6 +12 46
7 Al- Al-Gharafa 24 13 5 6 +20 44
Match Preview & Analysis

As Al-Gharafa prepare to square off against Lusail City in Stars League action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. Al-Gharafa enters this match with 2 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 1.6 points per game while finding the net 7 times. Meanwhile, Lusail City has registered a 5-match record of 2-1-2, displaying resilient defensive organization with 6 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, Al-Gharafa has claimed 2 victories compared to 2 for Lusail City, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 83%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 80%.

With evenly matched metrics (46% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (1). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Al-Gharafa, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Lusail City. Our top recommended betting pick is 1.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Al Gharafa Stadium as part of the Stars League.
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