III Liga - Group 2 · Friday, 11 Sep 2026
Polonia Środa
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Unia Swarzędz
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Polonia Środa wins
0
Draws
0
Unia Swarzędz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
26%
20%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Polonia Środa
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Unia Swarzędz
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Polonia Środa | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Polonia Środa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
11%
Behind
22%
Unia Swarzędz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Polonia Środa |
16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +22 | 37 |
| 7 |
Unia Swarzędz |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Polonia Środa face Unia Swarzędz in III Liga - Group 2. Polonia Środa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 12 (2.6 points per game). Unia Swarzędz have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Polonia Środa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Polonia Środa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Polonia Środa, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Unia Swarzędz. Our top recommended betting pick is Polonia Środa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 11 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 2.
